The governor’s race in Arizona still hasn’t been called and has in fact gotten closer lately, but with 93% of the vote counted, Kari Lake still trails Katie Hobbs by about 29,000 votes. This afternoon the Washington Post reports Lake’s campaign war room has been taking calls, including from former President Trump, about what to do next.

Some campaign aides and Republican operatives, looking at internal data, have grown increasingly doubtful over the last three days that Lake has a path to victory. To remain viable, they said, she may need to claim as much as 65 percent of the next batch of votes in Maricopa County, home to Phoenix and more than half of the state’s voters, while also over-performing in Pima County, home to Tucson…

Within Lake’s war room, where the mood has shifted in the past week from giddy anticipation to grim resignation, discussions have centered on how Lake should speak about a loss. Among those who have made appearances are some of the biggest names in Trump’s orbit, including Stephen K. Bannon and Christina Bobb, a former One America News anchor who aided a review of 2.1 million ballots in Maricopa County after the 2020 election. Trump himself called in on Sunday…

Additional results from Maricopa County were expected to post late Monday. People in the GOP war room expect those results to cut into Hobbs’s lead, but probably not by enough to change the trajectory of the contest…

Lake, members of her campaign team and her allies have huddled at various times at the hotel in recent days, culminating in a phone call with the former president on Sunday in a side room near the conference space. Trump, who made Arizona a centerpiece of his false claims of voter fraud in 2020, expressed disbelief that the Republican candidates were losing, according to three people with knowledge of the call.

But Lake has mostly fallen silent in recent days, even as Hobbs on Sunday issued a statement from her campaign manager saying the Democrat was the “unequivocal favorite to become the next governor of Arizona.”

Lake, who has been tweeting a lot since the election took more than 24 hours off yesterday. And today she’s tweeted this plea for people to check and if necessary cure their ballots.

🚨 ATTN: Your vote may not have been counted. You can check the status of your ballot at https://t.co/uZr5vhJ1sq

Share this with every single person you know. LET’S FINISH STRONG. 🇺🇸

— Kari Lake (@KariLake) November 14, 2022

Later on she tweeted again about ballot status and then retweeted hew own tweet above. But a couple hours ago she also tweeted this.

If there was an issue with your Ballot or an issue voting on Election Day, please submit that information here: https://t.co/QT9hsOZvTi

— Kari Lake (@KariLake) November 14, 2022

And this:

Shouldn't Election Officials be impartial? The guys running the Election have made it their mission to defeat America First Republicans. Unbelievable. https://t.co/Lz12h9VRX1

— Kari Lake (@KariLake) November 15, 2022

So it’s a bit hard to tell which way the campaign is headed at the moment. On the one hand she’s focused on making every vote count. On the other hand it seems like she might be preparing to argue the process was unfair. The Post notes “those familiar with conversations inside the war room said the Election Day problems could be the subject of litigation.”

As I’ve been writing Pima county has been adding new votes to the total. As you can see, this batch gives Katie Hobbs a decent edge.

Pima County with another 7,394.
Est. 7,427 remaining (98% complete)

Batch breakdown
Governor @KariLake 41.9@katiehobbs 58.1

Senate@bgmasters 38.9@CaptMarkKelly 59.1

AZAG@AbrahamHamadeh 43.03@krismayes 56.97

AZSOS@RealMarkFinchem 40.71@Adrian_Fontes 59.29

— The AZ – abc15 – Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 15, 2022

Looking at these numbers, Lake needs a big advantage in Maricopa to offset these numbers. And here it is:

The Maricopa batch is 71k.@KariLake 56.82@katiehobbs 43.17

Lake net gain of 9,750

— The AZ – abc15 – Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 15, 2022

With the Pima results above, Hobbs was leading by about 30,000 votes so this drops it to about 20,000. What I don’t know is what’s left outstanding.

Update: Decision Desk just called the race just about 10 minutes after the Maricopa drop.

Decision Desk HQ projects Katie Hobbs (D) elected governor in Arizona.

R to D Flip.#DecisionMade: 8:50pm EST

Follow more results here: https://t.co/erllKAE1oN pic.twitter.com/tPr9aZOKBk

— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 15, 2022

The current totals from the NY Times which has not called the race.

Update: NBC has called it too.

NBC News projects that Katie Hobbs (D) has won the race for Arizona governor

— Steve Kornacki (@SteveKornacki) November 15, 2022