Joe Biden is not so popular with Hispanic and black voters and that’s causing a problem for the DNC. There is a diversity problem that a senior member of the DNC is warning about difficulty hitting its internal diversity metrics for its slate of delegates.
Last month the DNC officials met in Washington, D.C. and at that time the big question was how to handle the primary schedule and the New Hampshire primary. New Hampshire has a proud tradition of being the first primary state but the DNC realized early on that Joe Biden would not likely win the primary in New Hampshire. So, in order to avoid that embarrassment, the DNC decided to make South Carolina the first primary state. The DNC punted on formalizing the decision during the meeting but Donna Brazile (remembered by Republicans as the acting chair of the DNC who gave Hillary Clinton debate questions in the 2016 election) noticed the diversity goals were off. This is bad news for them. I’m chuckling.
“I keep looking at these diversity goals in big states like New York, like California. And, for some reason, whether it’s the African American community, Black community, the LGBTQ+ community, or Hispanic community, [the] numbers continue to decrease,” Donna Brazile told her colleagues at a recent committee gathering in Washington, D.C.
“It raises a red flag in my judgment,” she tells POLITICO in a follow-up interview about the delegate plans. “And then I try to find out what the hell is it.”
The numbers are decreasing because of a lack of interest. Black and brown communities are discouraged with the old man in the white House. It’s ironic because no one has been more obsessed with a “diverse” cabinet than Joe Biden. He even out checks the identity boxes that Obama checked. Most of his appointments have been glaringly unqualified for their positions but Biden wants to be able to say he appointed the first this or that on the diversity scoreboard.
The DNC has a detailed formula to calculate its diversity goals that accounts for eligible voters from seven targeted groups. Those groups are “Black Americans, Latinos, Asian American/Pacific Islanders, Indigenous Americans, as well as those with disabilities, those who identify as LGBTQ and young voters, classified as 35 and under.” Did they miss anyone? White Americans? Oh, they don’t count.
Using public data, like the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey, the DNC also factors in individual state party registration figures and how well those party-affiliated voters turn out to vote in primary elections. From there, the DNC provides suggested goals for individual state parties to meet. The state Democratic parties then submit their delegate diversity plans to the DNC for approval.
Demographics shifts may account for why there are changes in some of the state’s diversity delegate targets.
The concern is that the delegates the party sends to its convention may not be as diverse as progressives demand. Democrats want to keep them happy. Biden is hemorrhaging black and Latino voters, key voting blocs he has to have in order to win re-election in 2024. Democrats’ convention delegates select the party’s nominee at the convention. They are elected by voters during the state primaries or caucuses before the Democrat National Convention.
The delegate selection process can over-represent a demographic. That is what is happening in California.
For instance, in a memo laying out the California Delegate Selection Plan for 2024, posted to the party’s website, the proposed number for Black delegates is 12 percent — that’s roughly double the percentage of African Americans in the state, according to the census. It translates into California sending roughly 60 Black delegates to next year’s convention in Chicago. But in 2012, for then-President Barack Obama’s reelection campaign, the state’s delegation was 20 percent Black, or 122 delegates.
If it was all about fairness, more than double the percentage of African-Americans would not be delegates. In California, the black population is shrinking and the Latino population is growing.
Democrats bend over backwards to hit specific diversity metrics and now the DNC is missing its own DEI metrics. It is going to be harder to virtue-signal over how much better Democrats are than Republicans if those quotas aren’t hit. Donna Brazile is warning about a potential embarrassment coming down the track. Pass the popcorn.
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