Allahpundit posted a Virginia election thread earlier that has the live results as they come in from Decision Desk HQ. I’m also watching results on Twitter where a number of people are comparing the numbers as they come in to what Youngkin would need to win. So far it’s looking pretty good, though it’s going to be close either way. Here’s Nate Cohn from the NY Times:

Now at 888 precincts: picture unchanged. Youngkin still ever so slightly running ahead of his targets, including nearly everywhere in the state.
If the needle was on the internet, it would be pointing his way pic.twitter.com/s0V2I1uPtl

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 2, 2021

There’s broad agreement:

Lots of smart people and analysts are on Twitter. Races shouldn't be called here casually, but it's obvious that this is a big GOP night in VA. #VAGovernor

— Larry Sabato (@LarrySabato) November 3, 2021

Dave Wasserman from Cook Political Report:

Right now, I'd rather be Youngkin (R). But we've still got a long way to go. #VAGOV

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 2, 2021

Northumberland Co. (Northern Neck, rural): Youngkin needed to win it by 26%, per my benchmarks. He wins it by 29%, w/ higher than expected turnout. #VAGOV

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 2, 2021

Loudoun Co.: up to 128k votes counted, and McAuliffe winning there by just 53%-47%. McAuliffe better hope for a huge showing in the remaining VBM, but Youngkin performed *much* better than I expected w/ the early vote. Advantage: Youngkin. #VAGOV

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 3, 2021

Youngkin is rolling up huge margins in rural VA, making a lot of headway in outer suburbs and doing better than I'd have expected among in-person early voters. He's in the driver's seat right now. #VAGOV

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 3, 2021

This one is just brutal:

Radford (college town in SWVA): McAuliffe needed to win it by 0.3%, per my benchmarks. Youngkin wins it by 9%. #VAGOV

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 3, 2021

Some on the left are suggesting doom is at hand for the Democratic Party, not just tonight but for the “foreseeable future” if Youngkin wins.

If Republicans can run those splits in rurals and then win back suburbanites without trump then the dems are just in a really disastrous place, now and for the forseeable future.

— Adam Serwer 🍝 (@AdamSerwer) November 3, 2021

But there is a fly in this largely positive ointment. Fairfax County had previously announced that it would start releasing early totals at 8PM local time but now there is some kind of problem and the reporting is delayed while they rescan ballots.

The county was originally set to provide early vote totals by 8pm

— Julia Manchester (@JuliaManch) November 2, 2021

And here’s the obvious question about this:

Why are we hearing this from the McAuliffe campaign and not from Fairfax County elections officials? https://t.co/loRtsfGBg3

— Jim Geraghty (@jimgeraghty) November 3, 2021

Fairfax just happens to be the most populous county in the state and also a Democratic stronghold which is making some on the right a bit nervous. But apparently it’s not enough to stop Wasserman from calling it.

I've seen enough: Glenn Youngkin (R) defeats Terry McAuliffe (D) in the Virginia governor's race. #VAGOV

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 3, 2021

Cohn isn’t calling it yet but he’s seeing the same trend.

Big GOP gains, in other words, have materialized extremely evenly across the state. There's no big demographic shift underlying this. Just broad strength

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 3, 2021

The news tonight is very bad if you’re a Democrat.

There's no way to spin this for Democrats – this is a very very bad result for them.

Virginia has swung 10-15 points to the right since last November.

That type of swing would be devastating for them in the House and Senate in 2022.

— Ryan Matsumoto (@ryanmatsumoto1) November 3, 2021

Might be a bit early for this but here it is anyway.

Incidentally, over the past month someone has registered the following web domains:https://t.co/zFmIYa41nghttps://t.co/MX8NLgta2vhttps://t.co/jV0gAVHEq8https://t.co/wtYBzzydIOhttps://t.co/IIq5rvqnjGhttps://t.co/knS7dX5B2a
and my personal favoritehttps://t.co/lCJUYRMU5l https://t.co/IgQkAR3S8z

— Lachlan Markay (@lachlan) November 3, 2021

Control of the VA House of Delegates is also up for grabs tonight.

Big night for the GOP in the VA House of Delegates. They are holding onto all of their at risk seats and leading in 13 Dem-held seats with 50% or more of the votes counted. Some of those will flip blue as early votes are added. Still, GOP HOD control looks very good.

18/x

— Henry Olsen (@henryolsenEPPC) November 3, 2021

The AG race is looking good as well:

Jason Miyares has a 10 POINT lead with 61 percent reporting. It really might be a red wave in Virginia… pic.twitter.com/QJo7kONuRq

— Sabin Sidney (@SabinSidney) November 3, 2021

I've seen enough: Jason Miyares (R) defeats Atty Gen. Mark Herring (D). #VAGOV

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 3, 2021

It’s looking like a sweep. I’m not watching MSNBC right now but I imagine there is weeping and gnashing of teeth.

Update: Okay, took a little break for dinner but Virginia is still looking like a clean sweep.

Decision Desk HQ projects Winsome Sears, @WinsomeSears, as the winner of the Virginia Lieutenant Gubernatorial Electionhttps://t.co/ez8QKULSbI

Race Called At: 8:43 PM (Eastern) pic.twitter.com/gZ3elv4q33

— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 3, 2021

Decision Desk HQ projects Jason Miyares, @JasonMiyaresVA as the winner of the Virginia Attorney General Electionhttps://t.co/ez8QKULSbI

Race Called At: 9:10 PM (Eastern) pic.twitter.com/vHKPw3W9HX

— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 3, 2021

The verdict on the House of Delegates is still out but it’s looking good. Summing up the night in VA so far:

Turns out that gaslighting parents about teaching their kids racial essentialism and gender theory by calling them racists is a bad electoral strategy. Who knew?

— Ben Shapiro (@benshapiro) November 3, 2021

And some more good news in Minneapolis. The “disband the police” measure is failing big time.

Question 2, the Minneapolis ballot measure that would replace the MPD with a department of public safety, is down 42-58 with most precincts reporting. https://t.co/b6yuNElaQN

— David Weigel (@daveweigel) November 3, 2021

Brutal but fair take on the Lincoln Project’s effort to cheat their way to victory.

Everything The Lincoln Project Touches Dies or is Under 18.

— Stephen L. Miller (@redsteeze) November 3, 2021

Meanwhile it sounds like things aren’t going well at MSNBC.

MSNBC is currently going through the 7 stages of grief on an endless loop in real time-

It’s great, highly recommend

— Buck Sexton (@BuckSexton) November 3, 2021

Tying Youngkin to Trump didn’t work with voters but it still works great with MSNBC viewers.

.@NicolleDWallace: Glenn Youngkin laundered former President Trump's flagrant racism, wrapped it in education, and gave it a lie as a label. https://t.co/0lNaoE5XNH pic.twitter.com/wVlAYBJFqF

— MSNBC (@MSNBC) November 3, 2021

You can't win an election by telling voters that their concerns are imaginary.

— Yascha Mounk (@Yascha_Mounk) November 3, 2021

MSNBC still has not mentioned her.

Not one word. https://t.co/DLAhZ4kBqu

— Melissa Mackenzie (@MelissaTweets) November 3, 2021

Sabato says someone from McAuliffe’s camp said: “It’s a bloodbath.”

UVA's Larry Sabato tells MSNBC: "It's a bloodbath" pic.twitter.com/5K2W17KJoc

— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) November 3, 2021

Henry Olsen is watching the VA House of Delegates races and says Dems are on the brink of losing control. GOP needs only 6 pickups and currently leads in 12 seats held by Ds.

As predicted the Dems have retaken the lead in some of the close House races. But the GOP still leads in 12 D-held seats with 73% or more of the vote counted. They only need 6 to regain control.

33/x

— Henry Olsen (@henryolsenEPPC) November 3, 2021