... the same as in the national polling since Sunday. Which is to say, not much at all. 

In the first significant battleground-state poll series since Joe Biden got knifed by his own party withdrew, Emerson College finds Donald Trump still up in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Kamala Harris does better than Biden was doing in these states, but her entry has not changed the trajectory anywhere except possibly in Wisconsin ... where she only ties Trump:

New Emerson College Polling/The Hill polling in five swing states finds Vice President Kamala Harris trailing former President Donald Trump in four states, and tied in Wisconsin. In Arizona, 49% support Trump and 44% support Harris. In Georgia, 48% support Trump and 46% Harris. In Michigan, 46% support Trump and 45% Harris. In Pennsylvania, 48% support Trump and 46% Harris. In Wisconsin, 47% support Harris and Trump respectively. 

Support for Harris surpassed Biden’s support from earlier this month in all five states; in Arizona, by four points (Biden’s 40% to Harris’ 44%), Georgia by five points (41% to 46%), Michigan by three points (42% to 45%), Pennsylvania by three points (43% to 46%), and Wisconsin by four points (43% to 47%). 

That's at least an improvement, but ... it's not much, and it's clearly not enough. It only resets the race to the post-State of the Union status quo:

“Harris has recovered a portion of the vote for the Democrats on the presidential ticket since the fallout after the June 27 debate,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “Harris’ numbers now reflect similar support levels to those of Biden back in March.”

Harris might not be the only one improving. RCP doesn't have aggregation yet on battleground polling for Trump v Harris, but their Trump v Biden aggregation numbers are still up. In each of these states, Trump's Emerson numbers are the same or better in each state than the RCP aggregate averages against Biden. Harris isn't taking votes away from Trump, but just picking up voters that left Biden -- and may not be all that enthusiastic about Harris once she has to directly compete on the campaign trail.

That's the key issue when viewing these polls. Harris is too well known to be a cipher to voters, so the question is whether she can improve on her dreadful favorability ratings by direct engagement. Newsmax suggests that Harris may be getting a honeymoon effect in these surveys conducted on Monday and Tuesday this week, but that's not a good sign either.  Harris has big problems with campaigning on her own, as she proved in 2019, and even the Biden White House kept her under wraps after June 2021 after a series of media fumbles and gaffes. This honeymoon period is likely measuring Peak Kamala, which is to say Untested Kamala. 

Newsmax also picks up on another bad sign in this poll. Just like Biden, Harris underperforms other Democrats on the same ballots, in most cases significantly:

In Arizona, Democrat Ruben Gallego leads Republican Kari Lake 46% to 42%.

In Michigan, Democrat Elissa Slotkin leads Republican Mike Rogers 45% to 41%.

In Pennsylvania, Democrat Sen. Bob Casey leads Republican David McCormick 48% to 44%.

In Wisconsin, Democrat Sen. Tammy Baldwin leads Republican Eric Hovde 49% to 43%.

So Harris has the same problem that Biden has -- she underperforms other Democrats. Ostensibly, that's what created the Dump Biden panic and had Democrats pull a Julius Caesar on Biden gently suggest that Biden "pass the torch." And this is in the honeymoon phase of Harris' campaign. 

Democrats have bet big on The Anointment, and they clearly think that Harris can improve her standing by going out to engage the national American electorate. They seem to forget that Harris has done that since 2019, and that this has been the result:

Over the past week alone, six out of seven pollsters have Harris' favorability in negative double digits. The only exception is the most recent NPR/Marist poll that found it at -2. The current RCP aggregate average is -12.3, all from polls that took place when it became fairly obvious that Biden would have to exit the race and that Harris would be the most likely replacement. That hasn't improved her standing with voters at all. And unless voters start seeing a very different Kamala Harris, Democrats won't see a different election than what they had before they chased Biden out of the race.