Well, that was certainly … underwhelming.

Commentators last night began talking about a “normal” midterm after all, but this seemed almost like a stasis. We may yet have a Republican House, but not by much — and the same is true in the Senate, where both parties took back seats (or appear to have done so) while not changing the lay of the land much. Unfortunately, as we discovered last night, it will take a few days to unwind everything and get final answers to the question of control of Congress.

So what do we know? Right now, Republicans have netted four House seats nationwide in called races, with 56 races still left to call. Even in a ripple, one would expect the opposition party to do better in closer races, and all the GOP needs to net is one more seat. That seems overwhelmingly likely, but even if they do, the margin for GOP control will probably be as thin as Nancy Pelosi’s margin has been the last two years.

In the Senate, GOP control is still possible, but it’s a tougher road. Losing winnable elections in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania has left the GOP one down in net movement. However, it appears that Adam Laxalt may take one back in Nevada, although some mail-in ballots need to be counted in the next two days. With 86% of the vote in, Laxalt leads Democrat incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto by nearly three points, 49.88/47.19. A lot of the outstanding votes are from Clark County — the Las Vegas environs, where union workers typically organize for Democrat strength — which estimates that only 45% of the total vote has been counted. However, thus far Laxalt is doing surprisingly well in Clark County, trailing by a little over four points, 50.97/46.21. Assuming that proportion stays consistent in the rest of the mailed ballots and other voting, Laxalt has a pretty good shot of winning, but it is not over yet.

Worth noting, though: Joe Lombardo looks closer to defeating incumbent Democrat governor Steve Sisolak. He’s up by almost five points at the moment, and within two points in Clark County.

In Georgia, Raphael Warnock won vote but not the election. He barely edged Herschel Walker last night but didn’t get to 50%, so that will go to a runoff. Brian Kemp, who easily beat Stacey Abrams in their rematch, can now lend more of his time and support to Walker. The GOP can still come out of this with a +1 and 51 votes in the Senate, but that’s the best they can do now. (Blake Masters could conceivably still win in Arizona, but he’s five points down with 72% of the vote counted, so it’s very unlikely.)

What about Ohio? That turned out to be a mixed bag too. Mike DeWine crushed the gubernatorial election and J.D. Vance beat Tim Ryan for the Senate by over seven points. However, Democrats flipped OH-1 and sent Steve Chabot into retirement, and held onto OH-9 and OH-13. In the long run, Republicans won the races that matter most, but they had a good chance at winning all three of those House races, or at least it certainly seemed that way. It’s a disappointing outcome, especially given all the wind at the back of Republicans in this cycle.

What about Colorado? Expectations were low for the GOP in Colorado, but Republicans may still fail to meet them. Incumbent GOP populist Lauren Boebert narrowly trails Adam Frisch by 5,000 votes (1.7% difference) with 89% of the vote counted. That would be a surprise loss, although perhaps not one the GOP will mourn if they still manage to gain control of the House.

The net result? Again, it looks like stasis — a status quo that everyone claims to hate but are also afraid to tinker with. That may have been part of the issue. Later, I’ll analyze this outcome more, but for now, the status report is the stasis status quo. Unfortunately.